Burrow rebounded from an injury-shortened 2023 to throw for a league-leading 4,918 yards and 43 TDs last season, both career highs. He also set a career high with a 70.6 completion percentage (4th) and was third in the league in on-target percentage (77.8). Those marks were inflated by a short-passing game, as, for the third consecutive year, he avoided attacking downfield. Just 7.8 percent of his attempts went 20-plus yards downfield (29th) while a league-high 51.5 percent were in the range of 0-10 yards. But when you get 652 attempts -- 68 more than any other QB -- it doesn't really matter. Burrow's volume, accuracy and talented receivers allowed him to overcome a lack of rushing production to finish as the QB3 in fantasy. That'll likely be the recipe again this season with head coach and playcaller Zac Taylor, as no team has thrown more than the Bengals the last three years -- 63.5 percent pass rate. Burrow's top three targets return, with all-world wideout Ja'Marr Chase joined by WR Tee Higgins and TE Mike Gesicki, all with new contracts. It's not a given that Burrow's TDs will massively regress, considering his red-zone TD rate was just 24.6 percent, a tick below league average. He won't add much rushing and has a suboptimal injury history, but another 600-plus pass attempts should keep Burrow in the Top 5 of fantasy QBs or close to it.
