Each of Wilson's three NFL seasons has followed the same pattern, with massive volume and lousy per-target efficiency balancing out to leave him slightly north of 1,000 receiving yards. He scored seven TDs last season after having seven in his first two years combined, but that was about the only benefit of playing with Aaron Rodgers, who had a career-low 90.5 passer rating and favored Davante Adams over Wilson down the stretch. Wilson hasn't missed a game since entering the league, and he's stronger than one would expect of a 6-foot, 183-pound wide receiver, with suddenness and acceleration that jump off the screen beyond even what his 4.38 40 time suggests. The biggest concern, yet again, is that he's unlikely to have good QB play, although college teammate Justin Fields -- the Jets' probable Week 1 starter -- did spark a career year for Bears WR D.J. Moore in 2023. The problem with Fields is that even if he throws the ball reasonably well, his proclivity for scrambles and sacks all but assures his team ranks near the bottom of the league in pass attempts. And while Wilson will see a huge portion of those passes, his target competition is weak to the point where it might not even be beneficial for fantasy, allowing secondaries to key on him without worrying about anyone else. In other words, we're likely looking at another season with plenty of volume and subpar efficiency, unless Fields and new offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand somehow are good enough to overcome a supporting cast that's flat-out lousy beyond Wilson and RB Breece Hall.
