Health has been an issue for Richardson since the Colts drafted him fourth overall in 2023. He's missed 17 of 34 games in two years, including six last season with hip, oblique, foot and back injuries. Perhaps an even greater issue is Richardson's accuracy. Last year, his accuracy was off the chart -- the bottom of the chart. At 54.9 percent, his on-target rate was last in the league by more than 12 percentage points, and his 47.7 completion percentage was the lowest since Tim Tebow in 2011 (46.5). It was bad enough to get him benched two games midseason. It doesn't help that Richardson is in love with the long bomb. He threw 20.1 percent of his attempts at least 20 yards -- far and away the league leader -- for a league-high 12.2-yard average target depth. Yet, he converted that to a mere 6.8 YPA (25th). His massive rushing production -- 499 yards and six scores in 11 games -- is the one saving grace for his fantasy value, but he still failed to top 14 fantasy points in seven games (four in single digits). This year, he could lose the starting job to free-agent Daniel Jones. The two will split first-team reps in camp. The Colts have solid skill players, and Jonathan Taylor likely will get another 300 carries anyway, so Richardson doesn't have to be prolific. He just has to be not terrible. There's still hope that his accuracy improves with better footwork and touch, but he also has to stay healthy.
