Lawrence's 2024 season was cut short by an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. In his full nine games, his fantasy output was on par with the previous year, which is to say, only borderline useful in 12-team leagues. Only twice did he exceed 20 fantasy points. Lawrence's average target depth jumped to 9.3 yards (2nd) as a career-high 38 percent of his attempts traveled beyond 10 yards (4th). That helps explain why his on-target and completion percentages were three-year lows, with the latter (60.6 percent) being second to last in the league. He might not get as many downfield opportunities this year under new head coach Liam Coen, but the offense should at least be more efficient. With Coen as his OC last year in Tampa Bay, Baker Mayfield saw his average target depth drop to 6.8 yards with an emphasis on the screen game, yet he had career highs for YPT (7.9) and TD passes (41). WR Brian Thomas returns after a standout rookie season, and the Jaguars drafted two-way player Travis Hunter second overall, potentially giving Lawrence one of the top wideout duos in the league. Jacksonville also signed Dyami Brown after his huge playoff run last year with the Commanders, while failed 2024 free-agent addition Gabe Davis was released. The offensive line added C Robert Hainsey and G Patrick Mekari, but it's still likely far behind what Coen had in Tampa Bay last year. That will make Coen's task harder, but the overall situation should still be a big upgrade over what Lawrence dealt with last season.
