Olave has looked the part of a first-round pick since New Orleans took him 11th overall in 2024, but he's never quite elevated to superstar status and is in danger of having his career shortened considerably by concussions. He has four on record in three NFL seasons, including two last year that limited him to eight games and led the Saints to shut him down even when reports suggested he technically could've played the final week or two. Olave had a pair of 1,000-yard seasons before that, both times with an aDOT above 13.0 and YPT above 8.0, with especially strong numbers on intermediate targets. His 4.39 speed also demands deep-ball respect, although Olave's yet to play in an offense that helped to accentuate that potential strength. He'll be in a new system this year, led by HC Kellen Moore and OC Doug Nussmeier, without much in the way of target competition besides RB Alvin Kamara and fellow wideout Rashid Shaheed (coming back from a meniscus tear). The problem is under center, with Derek Carr said to want out of New Orleans and the options to replace him being second-round rookie Tyler Shough or 2024 fifth-round pick Spencer Rattler. The combination of concussion and QB concerns puts Olave's fantasy rank much lower than where he'd be if we evaluated on talent alone.
