Chase Brown I hesitate to post this, cuz part of me wants to keep his price depressed. But what’s with all the negativity about him? I typed out this long explanation of why I think that’s bananas, but apparently this forum dislikes my long winded posts even less than you fine folks. Thoughts?

I don’t think your post is gonna change his price ahaha, people worry about him sharing a backfield in a strong class. Plus Bengals should hypothetically get better on defense meaning he would get less pass catching snaps.

Not sure I agree about him losing pass catching snaps if Higgins leaves they gotta go somewhere. Not sure one of the most prolific passing offenses, turn tail and get into committee backfields.

People are 100% certain that he’s going to be replaced or have serious competition brought in for no reason at all. Dude is a fantastic workhorse rb. But they’re “guaranteed” to draft a day 2 RB according to like 90% of the community for some reason

*which is ridiculous. That team needs SERIOUS investment into the defense. Could they add a day 3 rb? Sure. Am I worried about anyone they bring in? Nope. Guy is fantastic. He’s earned his role, and his role isn’t going anywhere

5.5 targets a game is hard to maintain over the last 8 weeks, plus maintaining close to 19 rush att per game, and rb share of 87 percent is likely not going to maintain

I think borderline 6th round pick, low ypc compared to his style of play. 4.3 which is pretty good but that’s tied with white and slightly above Harris. With his speed you want that a bit more. Also I do believe Cincy will take a rb highish and they’ll have a backfield like the old hill and Bernard days. Get a power back to complement browns skill set and take away from goal line touches

There is room for at least some regression even if they bring in no one else

Now if Cincy just adds a vet or takes a rb later in the draft oh yeah chase brown will be a rb1 next year

That’s still 17% less snaps that he would see. That moves him into the who cares rb2 range of player

Take the lesser valued player at that point for cheaper capital

If 1 of two scenarios happen it will hurt brown: 1. They get some rb competition whether draft or FA. 2. The defense gets better meaning he won’t be so carried by targets

It’s been done before with Damien Pierce, Phillip Lindsay, James Robinson, so why couldn’t it happen with brown? I know injuries were a factor with some of those RBs but still

Just because the snap share reduces doesn’t mean the valued snaps which are the carries and backfield targets don’t continue to dominate with him sure he’ll be spelled that’s what any responsible staff should do. How many of the guys to get the 30% snap share get peppered with targets and carries during those snaps?

They also literally brought in a guy last year to take away his work load, they already told you what they think of him with that.

Herbert lol

Zach Moss lol

Beginning of last season

Don’t say, Khalil Herbert he was brought in because they had nobody. Moss lost that job to Chase Brown.

They might think he’s more confident but to say they think he’s a full below now is a Huuuggee leap

Bellcow

Moss got hurt

And my point is they wouldn’t have brought in competition if they wanted him to be the star of the show. They prolly like him more now but he’s still no bellcow and has stats that are due for regression in an offense that will likely not repeat its numbers from this year